OSLO: Media watchdogs, Belarus opposition leaders and local weather campaigners similar to Greta Thunberg are amongst these seen as contenders when the Nobel Peace Prize is introduced on Friday.
The spotlight of the Nobel season, the distinguished peace prize all the time elicits a flurry of hypothesis.
However predicting the winner is a huge guessing sport.
There isn’t any public shortlist, and solely the variety of nominations is understood — 329 this yr. The nominees’ identities are additionally saved secret for 50 years.
The picture of the distinguished award has been hit onerous over the previous years as certainly one of its earlier laureates, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, grew to become embroiled in a struggle.
One other, Myanmar’s Aung San Suu Kyi, was accused of defending the bloodbath of members of the Rohingya minority.
This yr, specialists agree there was little progress made in peace processes all over the world.
In consequence, Nobel watchers have prompt that potential laureates may embrace media watchdogs Reporters With out Borders, the Committee to Defend Journalists (CPJ) or the Worldwide Reality-Checking Community, in addition to anti-corruption champion Transparency Worldwide.
The unbiased media is “each contributing on to maintaining governments and actions accountable” and combating the “growing problem (posed by) faux information and misinformation,” mentioned Henrik Urdal, the pinnacle of the Peace Analysis Institute of Oslo.
– Ukraine opposition, local weather campaigners –
Additionally talked about as a doable winner is the non-violent opposition in Belarus, which has denounced as fraudulent the August 2020 election win that gave strongman President Alexander Lukashenko a sixth time period.
Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, who grew to become the primary opposition candidate after her activist husband was imprisoned, is main the peaceable opposition from her exile in Lithuania.
The 39-year-old may take the honours on her personal, or with two different opposition leaders, Maria Kolesnikova and Veronika Tsepkalo.
“It will be a powerful assertion emphasising the position of ladies, democracy and non-violence on the identical time,” mentioned Swedish professor and battle researcher Peter Wallensteen.
“A prize to Svetlana would additionally not directly be like criticism to Putin,” as Russia is the primary backer of the Belarus regime, Nobel historian Asle Sveen famous.
Nonetheless, Sveen mentioned he would put extra money on Greta Thunberg, the younger Swedish local weather campaigner.
Honouring work to guard the local weather would ship a powerful sign simply weeks forward of the most important COP26 local weather convention in Glasgow, and two months after the UN’s alarming local weather report.
Analysis on local weather fashions took residence the Nobel Physics Prize on Tuesday.
“It’s an important challenge in the mean time,” Sveen mentioned.
In the identical vein, the United Nations Framework Conference on Local weather Change (UNFCC) and its chief Patricia Espinosa have additionally been cited as doable laureates.
– Reside ceremony, or on-line? –
Whereas it was earlier seen as having an actual shot on the award amid the pandemic, the World Well being Group has been hampered by controversy and the gradual distribution of jabs within the Covax sharing scheme to poor nations.
It stays, nonetheless, a favorite amongst bookies.
The COVID-19 pandemic has had little influence on the nominations submitted to the Nobel committee in Oslo this yr, based on its secretary Olav Njolstad.
“One may need thought so, however we will rely them on one hand,” he informed AFP.
But different names producing buzz this yr, albeit to a lesser extent, are the Marketing campaign to Cease Killer Robots — a favorite of the Norwegian Peace Council — main Russian opposition determine Alexei Navalny and outgoing German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Final yr, the honour went to the World Meals Programme (WFP), the largest world humanitarian organisation combating famine.
The lavish banquet in Oslo celebrating the peace prize laureate each December was cancelled final yr as a result of pandemic and could also be once more this yr.
The Stockholm ceremony honouring the winners within the sciences and literature has already been cancelled for the second straight yr, with the laureates as a result of obtain their prizes of their residence nations.
The Nobel Institute in Oslo is because of determine within the coming days whether or not to carry its ceremony on-line or in particular person.